Common section

APPENDICES

These appendices contain formal descriptions and arguments associated with the RIT model in Chapters 5 through 12, including proofs of the equilibria (A), comparative statics analyses of the thresholds (B), and relevant observations and proofs of propositions (C).

APPENDIX A

The RIT Model

This appendix contains the formal description of the RIT game and proofs of the pure strategy perfect Bayesian equilibria.

A.1 THE GAME

The game, reproduced as Figure A.1, begins with two independent moves by Nature. The first move selects the Detainee’s type, image, from the space image, image, with the common prior probability distribution image, image, and image, where image, is the probability the Detainee is type j, and image. Nature’s second move selects the Interrogator’s type, image, from the space image, image with the common prior probability distribution image and image, where image, is the probability the Interrogator is type k, and image.

Figure A.1 Realistic Interrogational Torture Game (RIT)

The Interrogator can engage in two kinds of questioning: objective or leading. Under objective questioning, the Interrogator does not tell the Detainee what she wants to hear. Under leading questioning, the Interrogator does let the Detainee know what would please her. In the leading questioning version, then, each image chooses a strategy from image, where i is reveal valuable information (“Information” in Figure A.1) and image is not reveal valuable information (“~Information” in Figure A.1). Move image is equivalent to keeping silent as well as providing information which is not valuable.

Under objective questioning, when the Interrogator does not reveal what she wants to hear, image has move image only. Strategies for image are given as image indicating that image chooses image, image chooses image, and image chooses image.

Following image’s move, each Interrogator type image chooses to torture (t) or not torture (image) from image, with (image) denoting that image chooses image when it observes i and chooses image when it observes image and likewise for image with (image).

Let image denote image’s beliefs about the Detainee type y at her x information set, i.e., image. As examples, image is the Interrogator’s updated belief that the Detainee is Cooperative after observing “information” and image is the Interrogator’s updated belief that the Detainee is Innocent after observing “no information.”

Both the Cooperative and Resistant Detainees pay costs image for i and receive a payoff of 0 for image. They also suffer costs image if they are tortured by the Interrogator and receive a payoff of 0 for no torture. The preference orderings for each are: image and image. Since, as we shall see, image is the Resistant Detainee’s dominant strategy, the image threshold pertains to the Cooperative Detainee only and so it is unnecessary to index the costs k to each type. The Innocent Detainee’s payoff ordering is identical to that of the Cooperative Detainee, with l taking the place of v for the cost of i.

Both Interrogator types pay a cost image, image if they fail to torture after move image from a knowledgeable (Cooperative or Resistant) Detainee and 0 for not torturing after move image from an Innocent Detainee. image bears a cost image, image for torturing any Di and an additional cost image, image (with image), for “unnecessary” torture of an Innocent Detainee who chooses image (i.e., tells the truth) or of any Detainee who chooses i. In contrast, image receives a benefit image to torture after any move by image.

Both Interrogator types receive a payoff of V for a Cooperative Detainee’s move i under objective questioning that provides all the information they have to the Interrogator; for fractions less than full information, the Interrogators receive a payoff of image. Since the value of i is uncertain, the Interrogators have only the common prior belief that i provides V with probability f and image with probability image, with image.

In the objective questioning variant of the model, i is perceived by image as i with probability u and is perceived as the nonvaluable image with probability image, image. This uncertainty is image’s private information; the Detainee assumes that the Interrogator recognizes i as valuable (image) and plays accordingly. image assumes that the prior belief u is common knowledge and plays accordingly. Three points of clarification are in order here. First, the Interrogator’s perception (with probability image) of the information as nonvaluable does not change her information set. Although her payoffs are the same as those of the image information set (image after torture and image after no torture), she knows she is receiving some type of information from a Cooperative Detainee. She must, however, decide whether or not to torture prior to fully understanding the information’s value. Second, the uncertainty captured by u occurs under objective questioning only—there is no uncertainty over the value of information under leading questioning. Third, the Interrogator’s belief about whether i is valuable (u) is independent of the Interrogator’s belief about whether the Detainee is hiding information (f).

A.2 PROOFS OF EQUILIBRIA

This section contains the proofs and formal statements of the equilibria discussed in Chapter 8 and beyond. I solve for pure strategy perfect Bayesian equilibria. I make the following knifepoint assumptions to rule out indifference between strategy choices for image and image: If payoff-indifferent between choosing i and image, image and image prefer i; if payoff-indifferent between t and image, image prefers image.

A.2.1 Objective Questioning

Under objective questioning, image’s payoffs after i are weighted by u, image but any image playing i believes image. Since image dominates i for image, and image only has move image under objective questioning, there are only two pure strategies to consider, (i,image,image) and (image,image,image).

A.2.1.1 image

Suppose image plays the strategy image; using Bayes’ Theorem, image’s beliefs at the i information set are image, image, image and at the image information set are image, image, image. Given these beliefs, the expected utility of t at the i information set is image. The expected utility of image at the i information set is image. image therefore prefers to torture after i for

image

(A.1)

Solving for f, we obtain

image

(A.2)

These are the information recognition and information hiding thresholds, respectively. Recalling the Detainee’s assumption that any i is recognized with certainty (image), it will be useful to define the Detainee’s belief about the Interrogator’s information hiding threshold as

image

(A.3)

image’s expected utility for t at her image information set is image. Her expected utility for image after image is image. image therefore plays t after image for

image

(A.4)

This is an innocent detainee recognition threshold. By simple inspection of equations (A.2) and (A.3), it is clear that image for all image. Equations (A.2), (A.3), and (A.4) thus define six subcases.

A.2.1.1.1 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image plays (image). image always prefers torture to not torture. It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. The strategy image dominates i for image; and under objective questioning, image is image’s only strategy so they will not deviate. Because image, image would anticipate image’s response of t after i, providing image with an incentive to switch to image. Consequently, this set of strategies and beliefs cannot constitute a PBE.

A.2.1.1.2 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image plays (image). image always prefers torture to not torture. It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. The strategy image dominates i for image and under objective questioning image is image’s only strategy so they will not deviate. Because image believes that image, he believes that image plays image rather than t after i. For image, the expected utility of i is image, or image and the expected utility of image is image or image. Thus, image prefers i to image for image, or

image

(A.5)

This is the Cooperative Detainee’s information revelation threshold. With no incentive to deviate to image, the strategy profile image; (image), (image): image, image for image constitutes a PBE. This is the valuable information, surprise torture equilibrium.

A.2.1.1.3 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image chooses (image) and image chooses (image). It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. From equation (A.5), image prefers i to image for image. The strategy image dominates i for image; and under objective questioning, image is image’s only strategy so they will not deviate. Thus, the strategy profile image; (image), (image): image for image constitutes a PBE. This is a valuable information, selective torture equilibrium.

A.2.1.1.4 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image plays (image). image always prefers torture to not torture. It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. The strategy image dominates i for image; and under objective questioning, image is image’s only strategy so they will not deviate. Because image, image would anticipate image’s response of t after i. Since image plays image after image, image has an incentive to deviate to image and so this strategy profile and belief combination cannot be part of a PBE.

A.2.1.1.5 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image plays (image). image always prefers torture to not torture. It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. The strategy image dominates i for image; and under objective questioning, image is image’s only strategy, so they will not deviate. Because image believes that image, he believes image plays image rather than t after image. image nevertheless has an incentive to deviate because image plays image after image, making image preferable to i for any q and preventing this strategy profile and combination of beliefs from constituting a PBE.

A.2.1.1.6 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image plays (image). image always prefers torture to not torture. Since image plays image after image, image has an incentive to deviate to image and so this strategy profile and belief combination cannot be part of a PBE.

A.2.1.2 image

Suppose image plays the strategy (image); using Bayes’ Theorem, image’s beliefs at the image information set are image, image, and image. Given these beliefs, image’s expected utility from t after image is image. Her expected utility from image after image is image. Thus image plays t after image for

image

(A.6)

This is the other innocent detainee recognition threshold, providing two cases.

A.2.1.2.1 image

For this set of image beliefs, image plays t; image chooses the dominant strategy t. It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. The strategy image dominates i for image and under objective questioning, image is image’s only strategy, so they will not deviate. Under objective questioning, only image can play i, so, applying the Intuitive Criterion, image (Cho and Kreps 1987). This is identical to Case A.2.1.1 above, so the expected utility of t and image are given by image and image, respectively. From equation (A.2), image therefore prefers to torture after i if its off-path beliefs satisfy

image

(A.2)

Further, for this off-path move to prevent image’s deviation, image must believe that image will play t after i—that is, image. Thus, the strategy profile image); (image), (image): (image or image and image); (image for image and image is a PBE. This is the no information, torture equilibrium.

A.2.1.2.2 image

For this set of image beliefs, image plays image after image; image chooses the dominant strategy (image). It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. No image can do better, and so the strategy profile image for image and image is a PBE. This is the no information, no torture equilibrium.

A.2.2 Leading Questioning

In this case the Interrogator’s approach is leading questioning, causing u to drop out of image’s payoffs and making strategy i now available to image. Because image continues to dominate i for image, there are four pure strategies to consider: image, image, image, and image.

A.2.2.1 image

Suppose image plays the strategy (image); using Bayes’ Theorem, image’s beliefs at the i information set are image, image, image and at the image information set are image, image. Given these beliefs, image’s expected utility for t after i is image. The expected utility for image is image. image therefore plays t after i for

image

(A.7)

This is the information hiding threshold under leading questioning. image’s expected utilities after image are image for t and image for image, so image plays t after image. There are thus two cases based on image.

A.2.2.1.1 image

For this set of beliefs, image plays (image). image always prefers torture to not torture. It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. The strategy image dominates i for image. Both image and image, however, can do better by switching to image for any q, and this combination of beliefs and strategies cannot be part of a PBE.

A.2.2.1.2 image

For this set of beliefs, image plays image. image always prefers torture to not torture. It remains to check whether (image) is image’s best response to these choices. The strategy image dominates i for image. From equation (A.5) earlier, we know that image prefers i to image for image. For image, the expected utility of i is image and the expected utility of image is image. Thus, image prefers i to image for

image

(A.8)

This is the innocent detainee’s information revelation threshold. Thus, the strategy profile image and image; image for image, image, and image is a PBE. This is the ambiguous information, selective torture equilibrium.

A.2.2.2 image

Suppose image plays the strategy (image); using Bayes’ Theorem, image’s beliefs at the i information set are image and at the image information set are image. Given these beliefs, image’s expected utility for t after i is image and his expected utility for image is V.

image’s expected utility for t after image is image and his expected utility for image is image, so image chooses (image). image chooses (image). It remains to check whether image is image’s best response to these choices. From equation (A.5), image prefers image to i when i is not pivotal to avoid torture, which happens when image and when image and image. The strategy image dominates i for image. From case A.2.2.1.2, image prefers i to image for image.

Thus, the strategy profile image, image and image, and image for image, image, and image constitutes a PBE. This is a false confirmation, selective torture equilibrium.

A.2.2.3 image

This set of strategies on the part of image is identical to case A.2.1.1, where image had move image only. Therefore, image’s beliefs at the i information set are image and at the image information set are image.

Recalling that u drops from image’s payoffs under leading questioning, the expected utility of t at the i information set is image. The expected utility of image at the i information set is image. Identical to equation (A.3) above, image therefore prefers to torture after i if

image

(A.3)

It likewise follows from case A.2.1.1 that image’s expected utility for t at her image information set is image and her expected utility for image after image is image and so, from equation (A.4), IP plays t after image for

image

(A.4)

This defines four subcases.

A.2.2.3.1 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image chooses (image) and image chooses (image). It remains to check whether image is image’s best response to these choices. Since image plays t after i, image has an incentive to deviate to image, and this strategy profile and belief combination cannot be part of a PBE.

A.2.2.3.2 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image chooses (image) and image chooses (image). It remains to check whether image is image’s best response to these choices. From equation (A.5), image prefers i to image for image. Strategy image dominates i for image. From equation (A.8), image prefers image to i for image.

Thus, the strategy profile image; image, image for image and image constitutes a PBE. This is a valuable information, selective torture equilibrium.

A.2.2.3.3 image and image

For this combination of beliefs, image chooses (image) and image chooses (image). But since image plays image after image, image has an incentive to switch to image, and this strategy profile and set of beliefs cannot be part of a PBE.

A.2.2.3.4 image and image

image chooses (image) and image chooses (image). Again, since image plays image after image, image has an incentive to switch to image, and this strategy profile and set of beliefs cannot be part of a PBE.

A.2.2.4 image

Once again, this strategy profile is identical to its counterpart under objective questioning in A.2.1.2, but, given that image now has move i in addition to move image, it is necessary to check whether image would deviate in each of the two subcases of A.2.1.2 defined by equation (A.6), image.

A.2.2.4.1 image

For this set of image beliefs, image plays t; image chooses the dominant strategy t. It remains to check whether image is the best response for both image and image under leading questioning. By equation (A.5), image prefers image to i for image and thus will not deviate; the same is true for image for image.

For image, image expects image to play t after i and so will not deviate to i even for image. For image and image, however, image expects image to play image after i and thus has an incentive to deviate to i. image also has an incentive to deviate for image.

To prevent deviation to i by image and image, image would have to play t after i. Since under leading questioning, both image and image can choose i but image never does so, let image be image’s off-path belief that the Detainee is image, and image be image’s off-path belief that the Detainee is image, upon observing i.

The expected utility of t is image. The expected utility of image is image. image therefore prefers to torture after i for off-path beliefs satisfying

image

(A.9)

This off-path belief is a real constraint (i.e., image ) for

image

(A.6)

Thus, the strategy profile image and image) or (image and image and image) or (image and image and image) or (image and image and image) with image for image and image is a PBE. This is the no information, torture equilibrium.

A.2.2.4.2 image

For this set of image beliefs, image plays image; image chooses the dominant strategy (image). It remains to check whether image is image’s best response to these choices. No image can do better and so the strategy profile image for image is a PBE. This is the no information, no torture equilibrium.

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